Episode #83: Could the GOP flip New York?

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For the third exclusively elections-focused episode, Jacob and Eric look at the most hotly-contested gubernatorial contests in the 2022 midterms. They discuss which races will likely be flipped by the Democrats, which states will remain safely in the ruling party’s hands, and which states could see huge Republican upsets in November.


00:00 Intro
05:04 States Republicans are guaranteed to lose
13:29 Oregon: Tina Kotek vs. Christina Drazan vs. Betsy Johnson
20:30 Wisconsin: Tony Evers vs. Tim Michels
26:56 Nevada: Steve Sisolak vs. Joe Lombardo
31:16 Kansas: Laura Kelly vs. Derek Schmidt
34:07 Arizona: Katie Hobbs vs. Kari Lake
45:44 Pennsylvania: Josh Shapiro vs. Doug Mastriano
01:01:05 New York: Kathy Hochul vs. Lee Zeldin
01:11:03 Honorable Mentions: Minnesota
01:22:24 Texas
01:27:06 Georgia
01:31:25 New Mexico


Oregon Governor Kate Brown’s low approval ratings: https://morningconsult.com/2022/10/11/whitmers-approval-ticks-up-in-michigan-ahead-of-midterms/

Oregon’s Democratic gubernatorial nominee Tina Kotek plagued by “bullying” scandal: https://apnews.com/article/health-portland-oregon-government-and-politics-brian-clem-a3a1d1e7c64cd27dca17ae534b1d5ea1 

Wisconsin Governor Tony Evers one of only two governors running for re-election this year who has a negative approval rating: https://morningconsult.com/2022/07/19/democratic-governors-are-resisting-bidens-decline/ 

More on Evers’ approval ratings, compared to other governors: https://morningconsult.com/2022/04/28/governor-approval-ratings-2022-election/ 

Katie Hobbs demanded that Kari Lake be kicked out of a townhall event before she would take the stage: https://thepostmillennial.com/kari-lake-kicked-out-of-her-own-town-hall-audience-so-katie-hobbs-could-speak-comfortably 

Pennsylvania Secretary of State, now gubernatorial nominee, Josh Shapiro vowed that he would make sure Biden won Pennsylvania in 2020: https://twitter.com/joshshapiropa/status/1322640510637477889 

Failed Senate primary candidate Kathy Barnette encourages her supporters to vote for Dr. Oz: https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2022/10/20/kathy-barnette-urges-her-supporters-to-vote-for-mehmet-oz/ 

The Detroit News endorses Tudor Dixon due to Gretchen Whitmer’s “instincts towards authoritarianism:” https://archive.ph/Vo0GI 

Real Clear Politics shifts New York gubernatorial race to “tossup:” ​​https://www.foxnews.com/politics/new-york-governor-race-between-race-gov-hochul-rep-zeldin-tightens-toss-up 

Poll with Lee Zeldin leading Kathy Hochul by one point: https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1583513526659751936?cxt=HHwWgICl2bTK4vkrAAAA

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